Providing Insights that Contribute to Better Health Policy
Insurance Coverage & Costs Costs The Uninsured Private Coverage Employer Sponsored Individual Public Coverage Medicare Medicaid and SCHIP Access to Care Quality & Care Delivery Health Care Markets Issue Briefs Data Bulletins Research Briefs Policy Analyses Community Reports Journal Articles Other Publications Surveys Site Visits Design and Methods Data Files
Health System Change:
The View from Wall Street
group of five health care securities analysts discussed future changes in the industry. Their consensus: First, the pace of change is not likely to change dramatically, especially the shift to managed care. Second, growth in managed care market share will continue at about one to two percentage points per year. Potential growth areas for managed care are the small group market, Medicaid and Medicare. Third, there will be little vertical integration between health plans and providers. These parties will rely on contractual arrangements rather than ownership. Fourth, changes imply substantial capital requirements, which will not be a constraint for sound enterprises. Fifth, to continue cost containment, providers need to develop new approaches to reduce volume and intensity of services.
Free access to this article is available at the Health Affairs Web site.